New Delhi, Nov 13: Moody’s Ratings has projected India’s economy to expand by 7 per cent in 2025 and 6.5 per cent growth rate through 2027, driven by strong domestic activity, export diversification, and a neutral-to-easy monetary policy stance.
In its Global Macro Outlook report, the agency kept India’s 2025 GDP growth projection at 7 percent, followed by 6.4 percent in 2026 and 6.5 percent in 2027.
Moody’s noted that India’s growth continues to be bolstered by robust infrastructure investment and solid consumer spending, even as the private sector remains somewhat cautious about capital expenditure.
According to the agency, India — the fastest-growing economy among G-20 nations — is expected to maintain an average 6.5 per cent growth rate through 2027, supported by both domestic and external diversification. The report pegs real GDP growth for calendar year 2025 at 7 per cent, up from 6.7 per cent in 2024.
Moody’s highlighted the resilience of Indian exporters, who managed to sustain overall export growth despite facing 50 per cent U.S. tariffs on certain products. Total outbound shipments rose 6.75 per cent in September, even though exports to the U.S. declined by 11.9 per cent.
“We expect India’s economy to continue expanding around 6.5 per cent in 2026 and 2027, aided by a neutral-to-easy monetary policy stance and low inflation,” the agency said. It also pointed out that steady foreign capital inflows and strong investor confidence have helped cushion the economy from external shocks.
